You are quite right, in that other causes of death may rise, given the effect these Covid-19 prevention measures have had on our health system.
Option A - For arguments sake, let us postulate that deaths from all other causes, that occur, if the health system is diminished by the Covid-19 prevention measures, rise by say 10%.
Option B - Then think about what happens if there are no Covid-19 prevention measures, in addition to the normal deaths in NZ, the deaths from Covid-19 produced a graph that looks like this ::
I think I'd prefer Option A.
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