To put some numbers around this, here are simulated error budgets from the AB app for my 7mm08 at 300m . For a 20cm circle, it estimates a hit probability of 57% which is starting to get interesting because something is degrading accuracy and would cause a significant number of misses. At 200m it is 94% so not as informative. The figure of 57% is within ballpark of my own experience in field target shooting (gongs).
Here are the parameters I used:
Numbers are sd except “Rifle Error” is 5 shot group diameter ie about 2-3x sd.
0.4 mRad is as good as I can get shooting over a pack in the field. Using sandbags its typically 0.3 for this rifle. Shooting unsupported sitting it would be more like 1.5 (6”@100). Windsge attributable to 0.2 sd wind at 90 degrees is a full 1.0 mRad:
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Here is a cloud of 1000 simulated impacts, showing mostly horizontal dispersion, due to uncertain wind:
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Here are causes of elevation variability. Note Im using a range finder and have put in 1m sd for range.
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Here are the causes of horizontal errors, which are dominated by wind uncertainty with “rifle error” well behind:
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